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the media as a method to value common stocks. An apparent reason for this lack of attention may be the difficulty in explaining the DCF technique in simple terms to stock investors. In the DCF approach, a stock s value is the sum of the expected cash flows of the company, discounted at an appropriate interest rate. The most basic DCF approach is the dividend discount model (DDM), under which the value of a stock is the present value of the dividends that an investor expects to receive. Using the DDM approach, the analyst estimates future dividend growth and the required rate of return on the stock, and discounts those expected dividends to arrive at a stock s value. Another DCF approach is the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) model, which measures the cash flow left over after payments for working capital, capital expenditures, the interest and principal on debt, and dividends on preferred stock. These cash flows are then discounted at the company s cost of equity to arrive at the stock s value. The final DCF approach is the free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) approach, and is the approach that we describe herein at length. Analysts who use DCF analysis tend to provide a simple value statement, as opposed to detailed assessments to investors, such as: On a cash flow basis, we estimate that McDonalds fair value is $30 per share. Given the current price of $16.08, we rate MCD as a strong buy. Many market participants use fundamental analytic techniques as the basis for long-term buy/sell decisions. The basic investment rule associated with fundamental analysis is: If a stock price is well below its intrinsic value, buy the stock; if the stock price is well above its value, sell the stock.

Downloaded from Digital Engineering Library @ McGraw-Hill (www.digitalengineeringlibrary.com) Copyright 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies. All rights reserved. Any use is subject to the Terms of Use as given at the website.

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Recording and registration of frequency assignments and also orbital characteristics of space services, and maintenance of the Master International Frequency Register Consulting services to member states on the equitable, effective, and economical use of the radio-frequency spectrum and satellite orbits, and investigation and assistance in resolving cases of harmful interference Preparation, editing, and dispatch of circulars, documents, and publications developed within the Sector Delivery of technical information and seminars on national frequency management and radiocommunications, and close work with the Telecommunication Development Bureau to assist developing countries

This book focuses on the investment decision what to do with your excess income and wealth. When you invest, you use today s dollars to purchase assets that generate future cash flows in the form of annual income (dividends, interest, rental payments) and price appreciation over time. We assume that you have fulfilled your consumption needs, however extravagant or spartan they may be; have purchased sufficient insurance to take care of potential catastrophes; have saved enough in a money market or savings account to take care of financial emergencies; and now must allocate your wealth among different investments. We consider only passive financial investments ones that do not require you to make operating decisions, such as a personal business in which you control the hiring and firing of personnel, or the ownership of a rental property where you may contend with late-night calls regarding broken water heaters or leaking toilets. Finance is the study of why, how, and whether to invest in projects, ventures, or stocks that have uncertain (risky) cash flows to be received in the future. The decision to buy or sell any investment or stock should be based upon three cash-flow-related criteria: a conservative projection of the amount (rate of return) of the cash flows, the probable timing of the cash flows, and a reasonable assessment of the probability or risk associated with receiving the cash flows. Once you esti-

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